How Much Search Volume Will Drop By 2026?

Two decades ago, ‘SEO’ was a foreign term to many. It involved using keywords strategically and gathering links like a confident digital butterfly in a vast web world. Back then, algorithms were basic. SEO strategies were much simpler than today.
 
Barry Schwartz, a leading figure in SEO, ran a survey on X. Around 40% expected a search volume drop of 25%+ by 2026. Less than 20% believed search volume would remain unchanged by then.

How much do you think search volume will drop by 2026? based on Gartner prediction news today…

— Barry Schwartz (@rustybrick) February 19, 2024

Humorously, Schwartz remarked to Google’s John Mueller that SEO would be “25% dead” by 2026.

Mueller acknowledged change is inevitable, highlighting the adaptability of SEO experts. He emphasized the ongoing importance of creating top-notch websites that provide value to businesses and users online.

So, let’s decode the discussion and try to understand the current and future of SEO.

The Early Optimizers 

Those pioneers were fascinated by keyword densities, meta tags, and the rather infamous ‘keyword stuffing’.

Content was secondary, and ‘value’ was an unpopular term.

The goal? To climb the search rankings at any cost, not unlike a contestant in a brutal reality show.

Welcome To The Modern SEO Ecosystem 

Fast-forward to the present, SEO has transformed into a sophisticated science that encompasses a myriad of elements beyond mere keywords and links. Search engines no longer merely rank content; they interpret and predict user intent, rewarding quality and relevance while mercilessly penalizing, or outright ignoring, anything less.

Algorithms: The Game Changers 

Algorithms like Google’s PageRank ushered in a new era, one where content and user experience reigned supreme.

The introduction of machine learning through RankBrain and BERT pushed SEOs into an era of semantic and user-centric optimization.

The Future SEO Of 2026: What Lies Ahead? 

Looking forward, the SEO of 2026 will undoubtedly be a stranger beast than its current incarnation. But how, you might ask?

(i) The Rise Of Search Generative Experience (SGE) 

Search Generative Experience (SGE) changes how users find info on websites. It helps distil essential content quickly, saving time and boosting productivity.

This functionality allows for quick identification of a page’s key points, enabling users to understand the core message. Moreover, SGE also allows for direct navigation to sections of a page where specific questions are answered.

Users can skip lengthy paragraphs and go directly to the key sections, making online learning more efficient.

This is a big step in providing content that matches user needs, setting the stage for a smarter SEO environment.

(ii) The Personalized Serenades 

Picture this: A future in which a search engine understands the user not just as one among billions but almost at a personal level. From search results tailored to your daily habits and preferences to content that resonates within your digital soul – personalization in SEO is not just a luxury; it’s a necessity.

(iii) Voice As The New Text 

Voice search continues to grow at breakneck speeds, with platforms like Amazon’s Alexa, Apple’s Siri, and the ubiquitous Google Assistant leading the charge. The optimization of content for voice requires a fundamental departure from text-based queries and opens a new chapter where tone, style, and verbal resonance are crowned kings.

(iv) The Convergence Of SEO And UX 

User experience is no longer just the domain of designers and developers; it’s an integral part of an SEO strategy. In 2026, the lines between these two fields will blur further, with SEOs needing to think like UX designers, and vice versa.

Every decision, from the placement of a call-to-action to the colour of a hyperlink, will be scrutinized through a UX and SEO lens.

(v) The Role Of SEOs 

Looking forward, SEO will keep evolving rapidly. Strategies will adapt to search engines’ predictive features to prioritize user experience. Search volumes decreasing is not a matter of if, but by how much.

The role of SEO professionals, in this context, becomes one of supreme craftsmanship. Their foremost task lies in the synthesis of finely honed technical skills with an acute awareness of user behaviour and intent. SEO in the future tense will be more abstract, less formulaic, and more intensely human-focused.

In this future state, websites will not merely be ranked; they will be understood.

Those leading SEO in the future will be the visionaries, the digital marketing tacticians. SEO in 2026 will focus on enhancing human experiences in the digital space, not just search engines.

(vi) How To Adapt And Thrive 

The future can be an ominous mist or a bright horizon, depending on your vantage point. Below are strategies any forward-thinking SEO professional can arm themselves with to not just survive but thrive in the SEO landscape of 2026 and beyond. 

(vii) The Art Of Adaptability 

SEO professionals are akin to digital chameleons who must change their colours to blend with the ever-shifting environment. The digital ecosystem’s ecosystem is not a static entity but a dynamic force that evolves with every algorithm update, technology innovation, and user behaviour shift. 

(viii) Data, AI, And The Human Touch 

The marriage of data and AI is the beating heart of future SEO, but the human touch must be its soul. Understanding data is the start but interpreting it through the lens of human nature creates a potent mix that guarantees relevance and resonance – the twin pillars of SEO success.

(ix) Continuous Learning And Unlearning 

SEO is an ever-changing dance, and standing still in this field is akin to moving backwards. Continuous learning and unlearning of past practices that no longer hold water is non-negotiable. This includes staying abreast of technological advancements, understanding the psychology of the user, and engaging with the SEO community to exchange insights.

(x) Strategy Over Tactics 

While tactics are essential to execute any SEO endeavour, long-term strategy is what separates a one-hit wonder from an enduring presence. Understand the goals, listen to the audience, and plan meticulously.

(xi) The Holistic Approach To SEO

Each element of digital presence – from content and social media to technical aspects and backlinks – is a part of a larger whole.

SEO in 2026 is a journey, not a destination. Keep learning, adapting, and tending the digital garden. Embrace automation, AI, and user experiences, but remember the essence of SEO lies in humanity. Face the future with knowledge, empathy, and a drive to serve. Innovate, inspire, and redefine this dynamic craft fearlessly.